Great Wall Securities·2025-07-02 03:35Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the industry [3]. Core Insights - The launch of Tesla's Robotaxi marks a significant step towards the commercialization of autonomous ride-hailing services, with plans to expand the fleet to thousands of vehicles within months [22][39]. - Major advancements in quantum computing have been achieved, particularly with Microsoft's introduction of the 4D topological quantum error correction code, which significantly enhances error rates and operational efficiency [40][41]. Summary by Sections Robotaxi Launch - Tesla's Robotaxi was officially launched in Austin, Texas, with an initial deployment of about 10 vehicles, limited to invited users and specific operational areas [22][24]. - The Robotaxi utilizes the next-generation Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, which has a model parameter volume 4.5 times larger than the current version, and is expected to be fully operational later this year [24][25]. - The FSD system is designed to operate without pre-learning routes and is capable of point-to-point travel, with a fixed fare of $4.2 for rides [39]. Quantum Computing Breakthrough - Microsoft announced a significant breakthrough in quantum computing with the 4D topological quantum error correction code, which improves encoding efficiency and reduces error rates by 1000 times compared to 2D codes [40][41]. - This new technology will be integrated into Microsoft's Azure Quantum platform, enhancing research and development capabilities in various fields [40][41]. - The 4D topological code requires fewer physical qubits for each logical qubit, thus paving the way for more efficient quantum computing hardware [41]. Market Predictions - Frost & Sullivan predicts that the Robotaxi market will begin large-scale commercialization by 2026, with a projected market size of approximately 500 billion yuan in China by 2030 [39]. - The quantum computing market is expected to grow significantly, with IDC forecasting sales to reach $7.6 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 48.1% from $1.1 billion in 2022 [40].