摩根士丹利:为何人民币不会重蹈 1985 - 1995 年日元的覆辙
2025-07-02 03:15
Asia Economics | Asia Pacific The Viewpoint: Why the RMB will not follow the yen path of 1985-95 We don't expect the RMB to appreciate significantly given persistent deflationary pressures and need to keep monetary policy accommodative. Pursuing currency appreciation on its own would exacerbate deflation, might be insufficient to secure a trade deal, and wouldn't bring sustainable rebalancing. Key Takeaways In this report, we draw on the lessons from Japan's currency appreciation after 1985 and highlight th ...