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保险业2025年5月保费收入点评与后续展望:结构优化与存款搬家,保费增速持续改善
Guoxin Securities·2025-07-02 05:59

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the insurance industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - As of the end of May 2025, the insurance industry achieved a cumulative original insurance premium income of 30,602 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.77%, with the growth rate further expanding compared to April [2] - The growth in premium income is driven by savings-type insurance, particularly dividend insurance, which has led to a continuous recovery in the industry's premium growth [2] - The anticipated reduction in the preset interest rate in the third quarter may activate short-term premium growth, benefiting the long-term decline in liability costs and improving the valuation of insurance stocks [2][9] Summary by Sections Premium Income Overview - The insurance industry reported a total premium income of 30,602 billion yuan by the end of May 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.77% [2] - Property insurance generated a premium income of 6,129.4 billion yuan, up 3.98% year-on-year, while life insurance reached 4,472.6 billion yuan, growing by 3.72% [2] Life Insurance Sector - The life insurance sector saw a monthly premium income growth of 16.7%, with traditional life insurance continuing to expand [3] - By the end of May, traditional life insurance premium income totaled 18,734.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.89% and accounting for 61.2% of total premium income, an increase of 8.2 percentage points since 2019 [3] Product Dynamics - Dividend insurance features a "low guaranteed return + high floating return" structure, allowing insurance companies to share investment risks with policyholders, thus reducing rigid repayment costs [4] - The floating mechanism of dividend insurance is expected to become a core choice for yield-driven clients, contributing significantly to the industry's overall premium income growth [6] Health Insurance Sector - Health insurance achieved a premium income of 3,879 billion yuan in the first five months of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [7] - The growth rate for health insurance has slowed compared to the previous year due to product structure transformation [7] Property Insurance Sector - Property insurance reported a premium income of 7,805 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [8] - The core driver for this growth is the high demand for automobiles, with passenger and new energy vehicle sales reaching 10,991,000 units (+12.6%) and 5,606,000 units (+43.9%), respectively [8]