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美图公司(01357):深度报告:成长视角:受益AI时代新红利,再迎阶梯式跃迁
ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-07-02 11:05

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the new opportunities presented by the AI era, aiming for a significant leap in growth through various strategic initiatives [2][3]. - The first phase of growth was driven by the mobile internet boom, where the company established a strong traffic barrier through popular mobile applications, leading to substantial revenue from online advertising [1][23]. - The second phase of growth is characterized by the integration of AI capabilities, enhancing user experience and enabling the company to close the commercial loop in B2B scenarios, resulting in a significant increase in software subscription revenue [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is crucial for tapping into new revenue streams, particularly from overseas markets where user payment capabilities are higher, potentially leading to a revenue breakthrough exceeding 10 billion [3]. Summary by Sections Growth Perspective - The mobile internet boom was the core driver of the company's initial structural growth, with software business revenue nearing 1 billion in 2018 [1][23]. - The AI era is expected to drive the second wave of structural growth, with software subscription revenue surpassing 2 billion in 2022 [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is pivotal, focusing on overseas market expansion to achieve a revenue target exceeding 10 billion [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 41.13 billion, 51.25 billion, and 64.04 billion respectively, with net profits of 8.43 billion, 11.68 billion, and 15.79 billion [4][10]. - The company is valued at a target market capitalization of 55.1 billion HKD, with a target price of 11.1 HKD based on a 60x PE ratio for 2025 [4][10]. Key Business Transformation - The company has shifted its focus to a subscription model, enhancing profitability through AI-driven productivity tools, leading to a significant increase in both revenue and profit margins [57][62]. - The integration of AI capabilities has allowed the company to enhance its product offerings, particularly in the B2B sector, which is expected to drive future growth [66].