万联晨会-20250703

Core Viewpoints - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index down by 1.13%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.376727 trillion yuan [2][6] - In the Shenwan industry sector, steel, coal, and building materials led the gains, while electronics, communications, and defense industries lagged behind. Concept sectors such as low-radiation glass, silicon energy, and special steel saw significant increases, while military restructuring, brain-computer interface, and EDR concepts faced declines [2][6] Market Performance - Domestic market performance showed the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,454.79 with a decrease of 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component at 10,412.63 down by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index at 2,123.72 down by 1.13% [4] - Internationally, the Dow Jones closed at 44,484.42 down by 0.02%, the S&P 500 at 6,227.42 up by 0.47%, and the Nasdaq at 20,393.13 up by 0.94% [4] Important News - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated over 300 billion yuan to support the third batch of "two heavy" construction projects for 2025, completing the annual allocation of 800 billion yuan for such projects [3][7] - In the U.S., the ADP employment numbers for June unexpectedly decreased by 33,000, marking the first negative growth since March 2023, with service sector jobs declining by 66,000, the largest drop since the pandemic [3][7] Industry Insights - The electronic industry has outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index since the beginning of 2025, with Q1 performance showing record highs in revenue and net profit [8] - Investment opportunities are identified in semiconductor self-sufficiency, AI computing power construction, and terminal innovation, driven by intensified U.S.-China tech tensions and the ongoing AI wave [8][9] - The semiconductor industry is expected to see accelerated domestic substitution due to increased demand for advanced process semiconductor equipment and materials, with significant room for growth in domestic production capabilities [8][9] Investment Recommendations - Focus on semiconductor equipment and materials, particularly in advanced process semiconductor supply chains, and leading companies in semiconductor equipment and materials [10][11] - Monitor developments in AI chips, especially those from domestic leaders like Huawei, as their market share continues to grow [10][11] - Pay attention to the storage chip sector, where domestic manufacturers are likely to benefit from rising prices due to supply adjustments by overseas manufacturers [10][11] - The PCB market is expected to grow rapidly due to global AI computing power demands, with domestic companies well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [10][11] - In the mobile phone sector, observe leading manufacturers as they release new AI-enabled products, which could drive demand across the supply chain [10][11]