英大证券晨会纪要-20250703

Core Viewpoints - The A-share market is expected to continue a volatile upward trend in July, supported by policy initiatives and the upcoming mid-year performance disclosures [2][9] - The market is characterized by a strong performance in black metals and banking stocks, while sectors like semiconductors and military stocks are experiencing pullbacks, indicating sensitivity to short-term gains and fund flows [2][9] Market Overview - On Wednesday, the A-share market showed a mixed performance with the three major indices fluctuating, while the black metal and banking sectors provided support [4][9] - The overall market sentiment was moderate, with a total trading volume of 13,770 billion, and the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,454.79 points, down 0.09% [5] Sector Analysis - The steel industry saw significant gains, driven by positive macro signals from the June PMI data and upcoming industry meetings aimed at addressing challenges and setting goals for the second half of the year [6][9] - The photovoltaic equipment and other renewable energy sectors are active, with expectations for technical rebounds and sustained demand driven by global carbon neutrality goals [7][9] - The marine engineering equipment sector experienced a surge, supported by government policies aimed at promoting high-quality development in the marine economy [8][9] Investment Opportunities - Three main investment themes are identified: 1. Stocks with expected strong mid-year performance, focusing on those with improving fundamentals [3][10] 2. Technology sectors including military, robotics, AI, semiconductors, and digital economy, with a caution against speculative investments [3][10] 3. Stocks in the renewable energy and brokerage sectors that are poised for rebounds after recent declines [3][10]