Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned for multi-faceted growth through environmental protection, energy, digital technology, and equipment manufacturing, with a strong focus on expanding its business model since its establishment in 2009 [8][13]. - The company has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth, with total revenue projected to reach 2,766 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.34% [1][19]. - The company is actively expanding its project operations, with a significant increase in both engineering and franchise orders, indicating a robust pipeline for future revenue [8][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Environmental Protection as a Source of Growth - The company has evolved from a core business in landfill leachate treatment to a diversified model encompassing energy, digital technology, and equipment manufacturing [8][13]. - Revenue has grown from 550 million yuan in 2020 to an expected 2,766 million yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.05% from 2023 to 2024 [1][19]. 2. Abundant Environmental Orders and Accelerated Project Operations - The company has a strong order backlog, with engineering orders increasing from 322 million yuan in 2021 to 460 million yuan in 2024, while franchise orders surged from 806 million yuan to 3,672 million yuan in the same period [42][46]. - The company is shifting its focus from water treatment to solid waste management, particularly in the garbage incineration sector, which is becoming a new growth driver [48][53]. 3. New Growth Curves in Energy, Digital, and Equipment - The company is strategically investing in high-quality renewable energy projects, including a 2GW photovoltaic project, with 1GW already under construction [8][49]. - The company is also responding to the national "East Data West Computing" strategy by optimizing its computing power resource layout across various regions [8][39]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 500 million yuan, 608.81 million yuan, and 749.05 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 50%, 21.71%, and 23.04% [1][8].
武汉天源(301127):环保为源,能源、数字、装备打造新成长