HTSC·2025-07-04 05:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: Guodian NARI (国电南瑞), Pinggao Electric (平高电气), China XD Electric (中国西电), and XJ Electric (许继电气) [8][9]. Core Insights - The approval of the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission line marks an upward cycle for the UHV sector, with an expected investment of 53.168 billion yuan and a total transmission capacity of 10GW [1]. - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan aims to add 253GW of solar capacity by 2030, indicating sustained growth in renewable energy infrastructure [2]. - The acceleration of UHV project construction is evident, with multiple projects expected to be operational within the year, enhancing the overall market dynamics [3]. - The UHV market exhibits high barriers to entry and profitability, with significant value in components such as converters and transformers, indicating a concentrated competitive landscape [4]. Summary by Sections UHV Projects and Approvals - The National Development and Reform Commission approved the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao UHV project, with a total length of 2681.3 kilometers and dynamic investment of 53.168 billion yuan [1]. - It is anticipated that 5-6 additional UHV direct current lines will be approved in 2025, with key equipment suppliers likely to benefit significantly from this trend [1]. Photovoltaic Development - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan has been approved, targeting the addition of 253GW of solar capacity by 2030 and the reclamation of 10.1 million acres of desertified land [2]. - The ongoing construction of large-scale wind and solar bases in desert areas is expected to drive long-term demand for UHV transmission [2]. Market Dynamics and Company Performance - The UHV market is characterized by high profit margins and a limited number of participants, with significant revenue potential for core equipment manufacturers [4]. - Guodian NARI is projected to generate net profits of 1.15-1.64 billion yuan from each UHV project, while Pinggao Electric and China XD Electric are also expected to see substantial profit increases due to the anticipated surge in UHV orders [5]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential for these companies, with expected net profit growth rates of 23.8% CAGR from 2025 to 2027 for XJ Electric [10].