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铁大科技(872541):轨交通信信号领域“小巨人”,拟投资推行科技和狗熊机器人切入无人车赛道

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in the market [5][9]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a "small giant" in the rail transit signal field, planning to invest in technology and Bear Robot to enter the unmanned vehicle sector. The growth potential is driven by policy support and industry expansion [5][11]. - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 73 million, 89 million, and 106 million RMB, corresponding to P/E ratios of 31.7, 26.2, and 22.0 respectively [6][9]. - The company aims to leverage its full subsidiary, Huto Intelligent, to invest in technology and Bear Robot, focusing on high-growth areas such as unmanned delivery and intelligent driving [11][12]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Market Performance - As of July 2, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 17.00 RMB, with a total market capitalization of approximately 2,323.90 million RMB [3]. 2. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 249 million RMB in 2023 to 431 million RMB in 2027, with a CAGR of 16.20% [7]. - The net profit is projected to increase from 39 million RMB in 2023 to 106 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 24% over three years [8][11]. 3. Industry Overview - The rail transit equipment market in China is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.4% from 2020 to 2024, with the market size reaching approximately 12,112 billion RMB by 2025 [20][21]. - The unmanned delivery vehicle market reached a scale of 133.4 billion RMB in 2023, with significant growth anticipated in the coming years [27][49]. 4. Company Positioning - The company focuses on equipment monitoring systems and lightning protection systems, with a high customer concentration where the top five clients account for about 70% of sales [8][15]. - The company has obtained 19 patents, including 9 invention patents, which support its competitive edge in the market [8][11]. 5. Investment Logic - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing investment in rail infrastructure, with fixed asset investment in railways projected to exceed 800 billion RMB in 2024 [11][21]. - The intelligent driving sector is poised for growth, with the domestic end delivery market already reaching 133.4 billion RMB in 2023, indicating a strong demand for innovative delivery solutions [11][27].