Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The utility sector has shown a strong performance, with a 2.3% increase as of July 4, outperforming the broader market [3][11] - The electricity sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to previous supply-demand tensions, with a focus on coal power's pivotal role [4] - Natural gas consumption in China has increased by 2.4% year-on-year in May 2025, indicating a recovery in demand [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 4, the utility sector rose by 2.3%, with the electricity sector up by 2.38% and the gas sector up by 1.09% [3][11] - The top-performing sub-sectors include thermal power, which increased by 4.37%, and thermal services, which rose by 6.53% [13] Electricity Sector Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) increased by 2 CNY to 616 CNY/ton as of July 4 [3][21] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port reached 5.7 million tons, an increase of 50,000 tons week-on-week [30] - The outflow from the Three Gorges Reservoir increased by 32.61% year-on-year, reaching 18,300 cubic meters per second [46] Natural Gas Sector Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 4,412 CNY/ton, a decrease of 2.09% year-on-year [55] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in May 2025 was 36.42 billion cubic meters, up 2.4% year-on-year [4] - The EU's natural gas supply for week 26 of 2025 was 6.23 billion cubic meters, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [4] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, it is recommended to focus on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International [4] - In the natural gas sector, companies like Xin'ao and Guanghui Energy are expected to benefit from stable margins and increased sales volume [4]
5月份全国风电利用率93.2%,全国天然气表观消费量同比增长2.4%
Xinda Securities·2025-07-05 08:24