GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-07-06 09:34Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the banking sector, suggesting that certain stocks may benefit from policy catalysts and cyclical recovery [3]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that while tariff policies may cause short-term impacts on exports, long-term domestic policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, promoting consumption, and enhancing social welfare are expected to support economic growth [3]. - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from these policies, with specific banks such as Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Changshu Bank being recommended for investment [3]. - The report also emphasizes the potential for continued dividends from banks like Shanghai Bank, China Merchants Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Chongqing Bank, which are showing positive fundamental changes [3]. Summary by Sections Credit Growth - As of the end of May 2025, the overall loan growth rate in China was 6.6%, with household and corporate loans growing at 3.0% and 8.5% respectively [1]. - Provinces such as Sichuan, Jiangsu, and Anhui led in credit growth, with growth rates exceeding 9% [1][2]. - Corporate loans in Sichuan, Jiangsu, and Shandong showed impressive growth rates of 13.8%, 13.6%, and 13.4% respectively [2]. Key Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume in the stock market was 14,415.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 453.04 billion yuan from the previous week [4]. - The balance of margin financing and securities lending increased by 1.12% to 1.85 trillion yuan [5]. - The issuance of non-monetary funds decreased significantly, with a total of 53.28 billion yuan issued this week, down 273.46 billion yuan from the previous week [5]. Interest Rate Market Tracking - The issuance scale of interbank certificates of deposit was 2,435.10 billion yuan, a decrease of 4,828.40 billion yuan from the previous week [6]. - The average interest rate for interbank certificates of deposit was 1.62%, down 2 basis points from the previous week [10]. - The average yield on 10-year government bonds remained stable at 1.64% [10]. Sector Performance - The banking sector's performance is closely monitored, with specific stocks showing varying degrees of growth and decline [30]. - The report includes detailed charts tracking the performance of various financial stocks and their respective movements [30][36].