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海博思创(688411):领航国内储能,逐浪全球征途

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [13]. Core Views - The company has established itself as a leading player in the domestic energy storage market and is rapidly expanding into overseas markets. With improvements in domestic energy storage business models and sustained industry demand growth, the company's fundamentals exhibit high growth potential. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for energy storage installations is expected to exceed 30% from 2025 to 2030, indicating a strong demand environment [3][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2011, the company has grown into a domestic energy storage leader with a focus on large-scale, commercial, and residential storage applications. The company has shifted its focus from electric vehicle battery leasing to energy storage, achieving a shipment growth rate of 205% and a revenue growth rate of 117% from 2020 to 2024 [8][31]. Market Position and Performance - The company has maintained a gross margin above 18% despite significant price declines in the domestic energy storage market. The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 16.85% for domestic operations and 42.14% for overseas operations, indicating strong operational quality [9][40]. Growth Potential - The company is rapidly advancing its overseas energy storage business, with strategic partnerships established in Europe, North America, and Australia. The average gross margins for energy storage systems in these regions are significantly higher than in the domestic market, providing substantial profit potential as overseas sales increase [10][11]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 8.4 billion yuan in 2025 and 11.3 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of about 19 times and 14 times, respectively [11]. Industry Trends - The domestic energy storage market is experiencing a shift towards independent storage solutions, with a significant increase in installation and bidding volumes. The market is expected to maintain a favorable growth trajectory due to ongoing policy improvements and market dynamics [49][52].