CMS·2025-07-06 11:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the metal industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic environment remains complex, with a strong US dollar putting pressure on metal prices. However, the second half of the year is expected to see a transition into a global easing phase, benefiting metal prices [1]. - Gold prices have recently adjusted, but the long-term bullish logic remains intact. Resource stocks are generally undervalued, and there is optimism for commodity prices in the long term [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on undervalued companies with good growth potential, as well as those related to self-sufficiency and emerging technologies such as robotics and controlled nuclear fusion [1]. Industry Overview - The metal industry has a total of 235 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 4,334.2 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 4,029.6 billion [2]. - The performance of the metal industry index shows a 10.0% increase over one month, 19.5% over six months, and 36.4% over twelve months, indicating strong growth [4]. Specific Metal Insights - Copper: As of July 3, copper inventory in major regions increased by 0.17 thousand tons to 131.8 thousand tons, which is significantly lower than the 409.8 thousand tons from the previous year. The report anticipates a strong copper market in the medium to long term, despite short-term volatility due to macroeconomic factors [6]. - Aluminum: The report notes weak demand for aluminum, with a significant increase in inventory. However, the long-term outlook for aluminum remains positive [7]. - Rare Earths: Prices for rare earth elements such as terbium and dysprosium have shown slight increases, with expectations for improved demand as traditional peak seasons approach [8]. Stock Performance - The report highlights the best-performing stock of the week as Fuda Alloy, which saw a 13.04% increase, while the worst performer was Xinbo Co., which experienced a 7.98% decline [6].