Guotou Securities·2025-07-06 13:16Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" [9] Core Insights - The overseas AI computing sector has experienced a significant rebound, driven by five key factors reflecting optimism in the industry, increasing downstream application demand, supply from upstream chip manufacturers, confidence from major players, and infrastructure investment [7][22] - Major cloud providers in North America reported a total capital expenditure (Capex) of $71.9 billion in Q1 2025, a 62% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong consensus on AI as a key industry trend [3][18] - The rapid growth in token usage, with Google's monthly average token calls projected to increase from 9.7 trillion in April 2024 to 480 trillion in April 2025, signifies a surge in demand for computing power, particularly in AI applications [4][19] - Broadcom, a leader in ASIC chips, reported quarterly revenue exceeding $15 billion, with AI business revenue surpassing $4.4 billion, reflecting a 46% year-on-year growth, as demand for low-cost ASIC chips rises [5][20] - NVIDIA's CEO emphasized the strong and sustained demand for AI, marking the beginning of a decade-long infrastructure buildout, with the company's stock reaching a historic high of $160.98 and a market cap exceeding $3.92 trillion [6][21] Summary by Sections Capex - North American cloud giants reported a total Capex of $71.9 billion in Q1 2025, up 62% year-on-year, with optimistic forecasts for continued investment in AI infrastructure [3][18] Token - Microsoft's Azure AI infrastructure processed over 100 trillion tokens in Q1 2025, a fivefold increase year-on-year, while Google's token usage is expected to grow 50 times within a year, indicating a rapid increase in demand for AI computing power [4][19] ASIC - Broadcom's ASIC chip revenue reached over $4.4 billion, a 46% increase year-on-year, as the demand for AI applications shifts towards more cost-effective ASIC solutions [5][20] NVIDIA - NVIDIA's stock hit a record high, with the CEO highlighting the ongoing strong demand for AI and the company's strategic roadmap for product updates, reinforcing its leadership in the AI computing sector [6][21] Stargate - OpenAI and Oracle announced a significant expansion of their Stargate AI computing infrastructure project, with an initial investment of $100 billion, aiming to enhance AI infrastructure in the U.S. [7][22]