Guoxin Securities·2025-07-07 02:09Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from product definition to functional realization and commercialization, focusing on the optimization and coupling of hardware and software [3][4]. - Cycloidal reducers are expected to become a new iteration direction for humanoid robots, offering higher precision and load capacity compared to planetary and harmonic reducers [4][5]. - The market for new cycloidal reducers in humanoid robots is projected to exceed 14 billion RMB by 2030, driven by advancements in structure, materials, and components [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Humanoid robots have completed the basic functionality phase and are now focusing on software generalization and hardware optimization for commercial applications [3][4]. - The iterative direction for hardware includes high load capacity, lightweight design, high thermal dissipation, low energy consumption, stability, flexibility, and cost reduction [4]. Reducer Technology - Cycloidal reducers are characterized by high reduction ratios, efficiency, precision, and load capacity, making them suitable for humanoid robot joints [4][5]. - The report highlights the advantages of cycloidal reducers over traditional planetary and harmonic reducers, particularly in high-load scenarios [4][5]. Market Potential - The global market for cycloidal reducers is expected to reach 17 billion RMB by 2029, with significant penetration in humanoid robot joints anticipated [5]. - The report estimates that the market for humanoid robot cycloidal reducers could exceed 14 billion RMB by 2030, indicating substantial growth potential [5]. Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies with capabilities in precision reducers and gear processing, such as Shuanghuan Transmission, Haoneng Co., Fuda Co., Jingzhuan Technology, and Landai Technology, as they are well-positioned to benefit from technological upgrades in the humanoid robot sector [6][7].