Core Views - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed performance with a lack of broad profit-making effects, indicating a structural market environment rather than a comprehensive upward trend [2][17] - The market is expected to remain in a volatile upward trend, with structural opportunities arising in sectors supported by performance and policy [2][17] Market Overview - Last Friday, the A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index reach a peak of 3497.22 points before a sudden drop, reflecting a clear divergence among indices [2][19] - The banking, insurance, and brokerage sectors showed strong performance, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices lagged behind, indicating a lack of widespread market momentum [2][19] - The overall market sentiment is cautious due to uncertainties surrounding tariff negotiations and insufficient economic recovery, leading to a preference for selective investment strategies [2][17] Investment Opportunities - Focus on three main investment lines: 1. Stocks with expected strong mid-year performance as the reporting window opens in July [3][18] 2. Technology sectors including military, robotics, AI, semiconductors, and digital economy, with a caution against speculative investments [3][18] 3. Stocks that have experienced significant declines, particularly in new energy and brokerage sectors, are recommended for opportunistic buying [3][18] Sector Analysis - The banking sector has shown resilience with a rebound after adjustments, driven by low valuations and high dividends, although macroeconomic uncertainties pose challenges [8] - The gaming sector is benefiting from advancements in AI and the growing popularity of short dramas, indicating a positive outlook for the entertainment industry [9] - Cross-border payment and digital currency stocks are experiencing renewed interest following regulatory developments, suggesting potential for future growth [10][11] - The pharmaceutical sector is gaining traction due to supportive government measures for innovative drug development, presenting a favorable investment environment [13] - The renewable energy sector, particularly solar and wind, is expected to see technical rebounds as global demand for clean energy continues to rise [14] - The steel industry is showing signs of recovery with limited downside potential in prices, supported by recent positive PMI data [15] - The brokerage sector is active due to policy support and market reforms, indicating potential for growth in investment banking activities [16]
大突破仍需基本面和流动性共振,震荡行情下结构性机会为主
British Securities·2025-07-07 02:45