HUAXI Securities·2025-07-07 05:12Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the pig farming sector amidst stricter environmental regulations and rising pork prices, suggesting a focus on investment opportunities in this area [2][12] - The report highlights the expected increase in autumn grain production, driven by favorable soil conditions and government initiatives aimed at enhancing crop yields [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The current main flood season poses risks for agricultural disasters, with regional droughts and floods expected [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture aims to achieve a grain production target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin, focusing on key crops and regions [1][11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is anticipated to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][11] - Recommended stocks include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development in the planting sector, and leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Denge Seed Industry [1][11] Pig Farming - The average price of external three-way cross pigs is 15.17 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 4.97% [2][12] - The number of breeding sows is projected to reach 40.42 million by May 2025, with a slight increase from previous periods [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including Dekang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wen's Foodstuffs [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2435.68 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37% [24] - Wheat: The average price is 2450.52 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.18% [27] - Rice: The average price is 2892 yuan/ton, remaining stable [32] - Soybeans: The average price is 3926.32 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.30% [39] - Cotton: The average price is 15130 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.54% [44] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.69 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [50] - Vitamin E averages 69.90 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 5.16% [57]