“大而美法案”的政治、市场与产业影响

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.32% at 3,472 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.36% respectively[16] - Hong Kong stocks declined, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.64% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.33%, closing below 24,000 points[12] - European markets weakened, with the Stoxx 600 index down 0.72%, amid concerns over US tariff negotiations[10] Economic Policies and Impacts - The "Big and Beautiful" Act signed by Trump is expected to increase US debt pressure, leading to a rise in long-term US Treasury yields[7] - The Act negatively impacts US stock performance in healthcare and renewable energy sectors, while benefiting technology and manufacturing industries[7] - OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, exceeding expectations, leading to a drop in oil prices by over 1%[26] Trade and Tariff Developments - The suspension period for "reciprocal tariffs" ends on July 9, with Trump planning to send tariff letters to 12 countries, potentially increasing inflation concerns in the US[10] - The US plans to impose new tariffs ranging from 10% to 70% starting August 1, raising fears of economic repercussions[30] - Trade agreements are being pursued with various countries, including a temporary trade deal with India and a potential agreement with Switzerland regarding drug tariffs[7] Sector Performance - In the US stock market, technology giants and AI sectors are expected to benefit from the new legislation, while traditional energy sectors may see a revival[7] - In the A-share market, banking stocks supported the index, with CITIC Bank rising over 3.7%[16] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong saw a 1.5% increase, while materials and financial sectors faced declines[12]