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全球最大“电力超市”南方电力市场转入结算试运行,关注交易主体资产重估机会
Soochow Securities·2025-07-07 07:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The Southern Power Market has transitioned to trial operation for continuous settlement, involving 220,000 market participants and a daily trading volume of 3.8 billion kWh, indicating a significant shift towards market-driven electricity trading [4]. - The report highlights the potential for asset revaluation among diversified trading entities in the electricity market, marking a new era of "free trading" in China's electricity market reform [4]. - Key industry data shows a 3.4% year-on-year increase in total electricity consumption for the first five months of 2025, with notable growth in various sectors [14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The Southern Power Market's trial operation is expected to enhance the efficiency of electricity resource allocation and establish a new mechanism for energy supply and optimization [4]. - The average electricity purchase price in May 2025 decreased by 3% year-on-year, while coal prices saw a slight increase [38][42]. 2. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption from January to May 2025 reached 3.97 trillion kWh, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-on-year, with the primary industry growing by 9.6% [14][15]. - The growth rate of electricity consumption has improved compared to the previous months [14]. 3. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation for the first five months of 2025 was 3.73 trillion kWh, a 0.3% increase year-on-year, with coal and hydropower generation showing declines [23][24]. - Wind and solar power generation saw significant increases of 11.1% and 18.3% respectively [23]. 4. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in solar energy and charging stations, with specific recommendations for companies like Southern Power Energy and Southern Storage [4]. - Recommendations for thermal power investments include companies such as Jingtai Energy and China Datang Corporation [4]. - Hydropower is highlighted for its low cost and strong cash flow, with a recommendation for Changjiang Power [4]. - Nuclear power is noted for its growth potential, with recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [4]. - Green energy assets are expected to see a rebound, with recommendations for Longjing Environmental Protection and others [4].