电力月报：风光装机抢装进入高潮，火电电量增速由负转正-20250707

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the power industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the wind and solar installations are reaching a peak, while thermal power generation has turned from negative to positive growth [1][3] - The introduction of connection mechanisms in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang has put pressure on incremental projects, with varying levels of protection for existing and new projects [3][10] - The report anticipates that the profitability of the power sector is likely to improve and undergo a value reassessment due to the easing of power supply and demand tensions [4][11] Monthly Sector and Key Listed Company Performance - In June, the power and utilities sector declined by 0.5%, underperforming the broader market, while the CSI 300 index rose by 2.5% [12][4] - The top three performing companies in the power sector for June were Guodian Power (5.91%), Inner Mongolia Huadian (1.73%), and Yangtze Power (-0.20%) [14][4] Monthly Power Demand Analysis - In May 2025, total electricity consumption increased by 4.40% year-on-year, with industrial electricity consumption showing a slight decline [17][19] - The electricity consumption growth rates for the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries were 8.40%, 2.10%, and 9.40% respectively [19][27] Monthly Power Supply Analysis - In May 2025, total electricity generation increased by 0.50% year-on-year, with thermal power generation rising by 1.20% [38][39] - The average utilization hours for different power generation types in May were as follows: thermal power 1644 hours, hydro power 1023 hours, nuclear power 3237 hours, wind power 952 hours, and solar power 460 hours [4][39] Monthly Power Market Data - The average purchase price of electricity in July was 367.34 RMB/MWh, a decrease of 4.41% month-on-month and 6.05% year-on-year [4][11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that coal-electricity integrated companies and national coal-electric leaders are likely to benefit from the ongoing market reforms and improved profitability [4][11] - Recommended companies include Xinji Energy, Shaanxi Energy, and Huaihe Energy among others [4][11]