Group 1: Industrial Silicon Futures Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Both industrial silicon and lithium carbonate futures are currently in the process of bottom - hunting oscillations, and it is recommended to buy a small amount on dips [6][29] Summary by Directory 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: Industrial silicon futures are in the process of bottom - hunting oscillations [6] - Trend judgment logic: Last week, the spot market price of industrial silicon mainly increased slightly. As of July 3, the price of 421 in Xinjiang was 8450 yuan/ton, in Yunnan was 9900 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 9600 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures shows that the daily line of industrial silicon price is in an upward channel [6] - Mid - term strategy suggestion: The price fluctuation range of industrial silicon 2509 futures is 7000 - 8600, and it is recommended to buy a small amount on dips [7] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The industrial silicon price showed a slightly stronger oscillating trend, and it was advisable to consider buying call options [10] - This week's strategy suggestion: The industrial silicon price is in a bottom - hunting oscillating operation, and it is advisable to consider buying a small amount on dips during the correction [10] 3. Relevant Data Situation - As of April 19, 2024, the cathode copper inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week. From a seasonal perspective, the current inventory is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years [12] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 25.73%. From a seasonal perspective, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [16] Group 2: Lithium Carbonate Futures Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Both industrial silicon and lithium carbonate futures are currently in the process of bottom - hunting oscillations, and it is recommended to buy a small amount on dips [6][29] Summary by Directory 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: Lithium carbonate futures are in the process of bottom - hunting oscillations [29] - Trend judgment logic: Last week, the spot price of lithium carbonate increased. As of July 3, the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 61,900 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 60,400 yuan/ton. The market has sufficient available supply, and downstream enterprises mainly have rigid replenishment demand. Technically, the AI variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures shows that the daily line of lithium carbonate futures is basically in an upward channel [30] - Mid - term strategy suggestion: The price fluctuation range of lithium carbonate 2509 futures is 57,000 - 67,000, and it is recommended to buy a small amount on dips [30] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The price of lithium carbonate showed a slightly stronger oscillating trend, and it was advisable to consider buying call options [33] - This week's strategy suggestion: The price of lithium carbonate is in a bottom - hunting oscillating operation, and it is advisable to consider buying a small amount on dips during the correction [34] 3. Relevant Data Situation - As of April 19, 2024, the electrolytic aluminum inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week. From a seasonal perspective, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [36] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 66.03%. From a seasonal perspective, the current inventory is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [38]
工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20250707
Chang Cheng Qi Huo·2025-07-07 09:24