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小鹏汽车-W(09868):2025年6月销量点评:销量同环比提升,销量结构持续改善
Changjiang Securities·2025-07-07 11:11

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total of 34,611 vehicle deliveries in June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 224.4% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2% [2][4]. - Cumulative vehicle deliveries for Q2 2025 reached 103,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][4]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to a strong new vehicle cycle, with the launch of models like MONA M03 and P7+ [2][7]. - The company anticipates achieving a revenue of 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2X, with significant improvements in software revenue contributing to financial performance [7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company delivered 34,611 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 224.4% and a month-on-month growth of 3.2% [2][4]. - For Q2 2025, the total vehicle deliveries reached 103,000 units, achieving a new quarterly record with a year-on-year increase of 241.6% [2][7]. New Vehicle Cycle - The launch of new models such as G6, G9, and the upcoming G7 is expected to drive sales further, with G6 and G9 already performing well in domestic and international markets [7]. - The company has initiated a strong new vehicle cycle, with multiple new models set to be released in Q3 and Q4 2025 [7]. Profitability Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a turnaround in profitability by Q4 2025, with expectations of positive free cash flow for the year [7]. - The ongoing improvements in scale, platform, and technology cost reductions, along with the expansion of software revenue models, are expected to enhance future profitability [7].