Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis such as the golden section line, horizontal line, and moving average, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on July 8, 2025, including the likely range of resistance and support levels for each contract [2]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Overview - On July 7, 2025, A - shares fluctuated downward, with the ChiNext Index falling more than 1%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose slightly, while trading volume decreased. The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell, and US and European stock markets showed mixed performance [15][16]. - International oil prices rose strongly on July 7, with the US oil and Brent crude oil main contracts posting gains. International precious metal futures closed with mixed results, and London's basic metals closed down across the board [10][11][12]. 2. Futures Contracts Forecast 2.1 Stock Index Futures - On July 8, 2025, stock index futures are expected to fluctuate and consolidate. For example, IF2509 has resistance at 3927 and 3944 points and support at 3900 and 3879 points [2]. - In July 2025, the main contracts of stock index futures IF, IH, IC, and IM are expected to fluctuate strongly [17]. 2.2 Treasury Bond Futures - On July 8, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2509 is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance at 109.18 and 109.25 yuan and support at 109.00 and 108.90 yuan [34]. - The 30 - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2509 is also expected to fluctuate and consolidate on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 121.3 and 121.5 yuan and support at 121.0 and 120.7 yuan [38]. 2.3 Precious Metal Futures - On July 8, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2510 is likely to fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 779.0 and 781.3 yuan/gram, with support at 771.3 and 768.7 yuan/gram [2]. - The silver futures main contract AG2510 is expected to fluctuate strongly on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 8948 and 8994 yuan/kg and support at 8837 and 8814 yuan/kg [3]. 2.4 Base Metal Futures - The copper futures main contract CU2508 is likely to fluctuate strongly on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 79500 and 79800 yuan/ton and support at 79200 and 78900 yuan/ton [3]. - The alumina futures main contract AO2509 is expected to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, with support at 2992 and 2971 yuan/ton and resistance at 3071 and 3084 yuan/ton [3]. - The zinc futures main contract ZN2508 is likely to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, and test support levels at 21960 and 21850 yuan/ton, with resistance at 22130 and 22160 yuan/ton [3]. 2.5 Industrial Metal Futures - The industrial silicon futures main contract SI2509 is expected to have a wide - range fluctuation on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 8210 and 8320 yuan/ton and support at 7900 and 7820 yuan/ton [3]. - The polysilicon futures main contract PS2508 is likely to have a wide - range fluctuation on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 37250 and 37810 yuan/ton and support at 36380 and 36050 yuan/ton [3]. - The lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2509 is expected to have a wide - range fluctuation on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 64000 and 64500 yuan/ton and support at 63300 and 62800 yuan/ton [4]. 2.6 Building Material Futures - The rebar futures main contract RB2510 is likely to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, and test support levels at 3041 and 3030 yuan/ton, with resistance at 3065 and 3072 yuan/ton [4]. - The hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2510 is expected to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, and test support levels at 3163 and 3150 yuan/ton, with resistance at 3195 and 3200 yuan/ton [4]. - The iron ore futures main contract I2509 is likely to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, and test support levels at 724 and 720 yuan/ton, with resistance at 736 and 741 yuan/ton [4]. 2.7 Energy Futures - The crude oil futures main contract SC2508 is likely to fluctuate strongly on July 8, 2025, and attack resistance levels at 515 and 519 yuan/barrel, with support at 505 and 502 yuan/barrel [5]. - The fuel oil futures main contract FU2509 is expected to fluctuate strongly on July 8, 2025, and attack resistance levels at 2987 and 3001 yuan/ton, with support at 2957 and 2947 yuan/ton [7]. 2.8 Chemical Futures - The PTA futures main contract TA509 is likely to fluctuate and consolidate on July 8, 2025, with resistance at 4754 and 4780 yuan/ton and support at 4686 and 4664 yuan/ton [7]. - The PVC futures main contract V2509 is expected to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, with support at 4879 and 4858 yuan/ton and resistance at 4907 and 4921 yuan/ton [7]. - The methanol futures main contract MA509 is likely to fluctuate weakly on July 8, 2025, and test support levels at 2359 and 2336 yuan/ton, with resistance at 2400 and 2413 yuan/ton [7]. 3. Macro - economic and Policy Information - President Xi Jinping inspected Yangquan Valve Co., Ltd. to understand the situation of industrial transformation and upgrading in Shanxi [8]. - The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress launched an enforcement inspection of the Circular Economy Promotion Law [8]. - As of the end of June, China's gold reserves increased, and foreign exchange reserves also rose [8]. - Nine departments issued the 2025 Work Plan for the Action of Promoting Rural Revitalization through the Housekeeping Service Industry [8]. - US President Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on multiple countries, which will take effect on August 1 [9]. - Goldman Sachs said the Fed may cut policy rates in September [9]. - The EU is seeking to reach a preliminary trade agreement with the US this week [10]. - The Eurozone's July Sentix Investor Confidence Index reached a new high since February 2022, and May's retail sales showed year - on - year growth [10].
股指期货将震荡整理，原油期货将震荡偏强，黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡，螺纹钢、铁矿石期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-07-08 07:04