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KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-07-09 14:45

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The June CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, reversing from a previous decline of -0.1%, while the PPI fell by 3.6%, worse than the expected -3.2% [3][8][12] - Core CPI has remained above seasonal levels for three consecutive months, indicating a slight recovery in consumer prices [9][11] - The PPI is expected to have reached its bottom, with projections indicating a potential recovery in the latter half of 2025 [13] Group 2: Chemical Industry Insights - The BOPET film industry has faced profitability challenges since 2022, leading to a slowdown in planned capacity expansion, but industry self-discipline is expected to improve profitability [4][18] - From 2014 to 2024, domestic BOPET capacity grew from 2.47 million tons to 6.95 million tons, with a CAGR of 10.9%, but consumption growth has not kept pace, leading to an oversupply of low-end products [16][17] - Recommended stocks in the BOPET sector include Dongcai Technology, Hengli Petrochemical, and Rongsheng Petrochemical, with beneficiaries including Shuangxing New Materials and Yuxing Co [18] Group 3: Low Altitude Economy Insights - The establishment of a leadership group by the Civil Aviation Administration of China aims to enhance the organization and coordination of low-altitude economy initiatives [20][21] - Local governments are implementing policies to support low-altitude operations, including subsidies for operational enterprises [20][21] - Recommended stocks in the low-altitude economy sector include Wolong Electric Drive and Green Energy Huichong, with beneficiaries across manufacturing, infrastructure, and operations [20][22] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industry Insights - The solid-state battery sector is transitioning from experimental stages to mass production, with several companies making significant advancements in technology and production capabilities [25][27] - Recommended stocks in the solid-state battery sector include CATL, with beneficiaries across various components such as conductive agents and electrolyte membranes [25][27] - The solid-state battery index showed a decline of 0.8% recently, but the sector has seen a cumulative increase of 18.2% in 2025 [26][27]