集运日报：MSK上调地中海PSS，特政府继续加征多国关税，今日盘面若冲高可考虑部分止盈，符合日报预期。-20250710

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Amid geopolitical conflicts and tariff fluctuations, trading is challenging, and it's recommended to participate with a light position or stay on the sidelines [2] - The short - term market may rebound, and risk - takers can consider partial profit - taking when the price surges today. For long - term strategies, take profits when the price rises and wait for the price to stabilize after a pullback before determining the next direction [1][3] Summary by Related Contents Shipping Market Information - On July 7, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for European routes was 2258.04 points, up 6.3% from the previous period; for the US West routes, it was 1557.77 points, down 3.8% from the previous period. On July 4, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) composite index was 1285.2 points, down 7.92% from the previous period [1] - On July 4, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) was 1763.49 points, down 98.02 points from the previous period. The SCFI European line price was 2101 USD/TEU, up 3.50% from the previous period; the US West route was 2089 USD/FEU, down 18.97% from the previous period [1] - The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) composite index on July 4 was 1342.99 points, down 1.9% from the previous period; the European route was 1694.30 points, up 3.3% from the previous period; the US West route was 1084.28 points, down 10.5% from the previous period [1] Market News - The Trump administration has continued to impose tariffs on multiple countries, mainly in Southeast Asia, and postponed the tariff negotiation date to August 1. Some shipping companies have announced price increases, and the spot market has a small price increase to test the market [2] - China and the US are expected to hold consultations on trade issues next month. Houthi has stated that it will attack Israeli ships, and the cease - fire negotiation in Gaza is ongoing, with the market full of mixed long and short information [2] Market Data - On July 9, the main contract 2508 closed at 2012.5, up 1.69%. The trading volume was 25,400 lots, and the open interest was 31,300 lots, a decrease of 3709 lots from the previous day [2] Strategy Recommendations - Short - term strategy: The short - term market may rebound. Risk - takers were recommended to go long on the 2510 contract at below 1300 (with a profit margin of over 100 points). Consider partial profit - taking when the price surges today. For the EC2512 contract, go short lightly above 1650 and set stop - loss and take - profit levels [3] - Arbitrage strategy: Due to the volatile international situation, it's recommended to stay on the sidelines for now [3] - Long - term strategy: For each contract, take profits when the price rises, wait for the price to stabilize after a pullback, and then determine the subsequent direction [3] Contract Adjustments - The daily limit for contracts 2506 - 2604 is adjusted to 16% [3] - The company's margin for contracts 2506 - 2604 is adjusted to 26% [3] - The daily opening limit for all contracts from 2506 - 2604 is 100 lots [3]