AT&M(SZ:000969) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-07-10 10:31Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [6][12][13]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from stable growth in traditional businesses while also capitalizing on three key growth areas: special powders, amorphous materials, and controlled nuclear fusion [6][9][15]. - The company has shown continuous improvement in operational efficiency, with a notable decrease in the proportion of expenses relative to revenue, indicating effective cost management [7][40]. - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio, structured under a "2+3+4" business model, which includes two core industries, three key industries, and four incubating industries, allowing for diversified growth opportunities [9][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Structure and Market Position - The company operates as a core platform for metal new materials under China Steel Research, focusing on high-end applications in various strategic industries such as AI, new energy, and aerospace [21][24]. - The "2+3+4" structure includes two core industries (refractory tungsten and molybdenum, rare earth permanent magnets), three key industries (amorphous/nanocrystalline materials, high-alloy high-speed steel, superhard materials), and four incubating industries (special powders, injection molding, welding materials, controlled nuclear fusion) [27][28]. 2. Historical Performance and Financial Health - The company has experienced steady revenue and net profit growth from 2021 to 2023, with a two-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.26% and 20.53%, respectively [32][35]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76%, while net profit increased by 4.95% to 83 million yuan, indicating resilience despite challenges [7][32]. 3. Growth Drivers - The special powders segment is expected to see sustained high growth due to increasing demand in the electric vehicle and AI sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 10.5% in the global injection molding market from 2023 to 2030 [15][48]. - The amorphous materials segment is entering a high-growth cycle, with significant applications in energy-efficient transformers and electric motors, which are gaining traction in the market [61][74]. - The controlled nuclear fusion segment is accelerating towards commercialization, with the company positioned to benefit from advancements in this field [75]. 4. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 330 million yuan, 422 million yuan, and 545 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 0.31, 0.40, and 0.52 yuan [11][13]. - The report suggests a valuation premium for the company due to its multiple business segments entering growth phases, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecasted at 40.38 for 2025 [12][13].