转债市场日度跟踪20250710-20250710
Huachuang Securities·2025-07-10 14:47
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Today, the convertible bond market followed the equity market's upward trend, with valuations rising on a month - on - month basis. The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened [1]. - The convertible bond price center increased, and the proportion of high - price bonds rose. The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.43% from yesterday [2]. - Valuations increased. The fitted conversion premium rate for 100 - yuan par value was 25.30%, up 0.71 pct from yesterday [2]. - In the industry performance, more than half of the underlying stock industry indices rose, with 17 industries rising in the A - share market and 18 in the convertible bond market [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Main Index Performance - The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.40% month - on - month, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.47%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.22%, the SSE 50 Index rose 0.62%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.25% [1]. - Small - cap value stocks were relatively dominant. Small - cap value stocks rose 1.06%, while large - cap growth stocks rose 0.14% [1]. | Index Code | Index Name | Closing Price | Daily Change (%) | Weekly Change (%) | Monthly Change (%) | YTD Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000832.CSI | CSI Convertible Bond | 450.71 | 0.40 | 1.43 | 3.45 | 8.72 | | 889033.WI | Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted | 213.99 | 0.28 | 0.99 | 2.56 | 10.04 | | 8841324.WI | Convertible Bond Index | 1960.13 | 0.34 | 1.94 | 4.41 | 18.75 | | 884257.WI | Convertible Bond Pre - plan | 1713.71 | 0.21 | 1.32 | 5.18 | 17.43 | | 000001.SH | Shanghai Composite Index | 3509.68 | 0.48 | 1.59 | 3.23 | 4.71 | | 399001.SZ | Shenzhen Component Index | 10631.13 | 0.47 | 2.10 | 3.72 | 2.08 | | 399006.SZ | ChiNext Index | 2189.58 | 0.22 | 3.10 | 6.22 | 2.24 | | 000016.SH | SSE 50 Index | 2756.93 | 0.62 | 1.26 | 2.61 | 2.69 | | 000852.SH | CSI 1000 Index | 6406.57 | 0.25 | 1.54 | 3.02 | 7.53 | [7] 3.2 Market Capital Performance - The trading volume in the convertible bond market was 66.907 billion yuan, a 1.57% decrease from the previous day. The total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 1.515068 trillion yuan, a 0.81% decrease from the previous day [1]. - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 21.158 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond rose 1.70 bp to 1.66% [1]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Price and Valuation - The overall closing - price weighted average of convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.43% from yesterday. The closing price of equity - biased convertible bonds was 164.25 yuan, down 0.91%; that of bond - biased convertible bonds was 115.18 yuan, up 0.46%; and that of balanced convertible bonds was 124.13 yuan, up 0.29% [2]. - The proportion of bonds with a closing price above 130 yuan was 33.19%, up 1.57 pct from yesterday. The largest change in proportion was in the 100 - 110 (including 110) range, with a proportion of 3.19%, down 1.08 pct from yesterday. There were 2 bonds with a closing price below 100 yuan [2]. - The median price was 125.74 yuan, up 0.51% from yesterday. The fitted conversion premium rate for 100 - yuan par value was 25.30%, up 0.71 pct from yesterday. The overall weighted par value was 94.96 yuan, up 0.51% from yesterday [2]. 3.4 Industry Performance - In the A - share market, the top three rising industries were real estate (+3.19%), petroleum and petrochemicals (+1.54%), and steel (+1.44%); the top three falling industries were automobiles (-0.62%), media (-0.54%), and national defense and military industry (-0.41%) [3]. - In the convertible bond market, the top three rising industries were environmental protection (+2.50%), coal (+1.39%), and non - bank finance (+0.95%); the top three falling industries were communications (-0.92%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (-0.67%), and media (-0.24%) [3]. - In terms of different sectors: - Closing price: The large - cycle sector rose 0.81%, the manufacturing sector rose 0.05%, the technology sector fell 0.22%, the large - consumption sector rose 0.12%, and the large - finance sector rose 0.66% [3]. - Conversion premium rate: The large - cycle sector decreased 1.1 pct, the manufacturing sector increased 0.32 pct, the technology sector increased 0.024 pct, the large - consumption sector decreased 0.13 pct, and the large - finance sector decreased 0.34 pct [3]. - Conversion value: The large - cycle sector rose 1.12%, the manufacturing sector fell 0.41%, the technology sector fell 0.25%, the large - consumption sector rose 0.07%, and the large - finance sector rose 0.96% [3]. - Pure - bond premium rate: The large - cycle sector rose 1.0 pct, the manufacturing sector rose 0.046 pct, the technology sector fell 0.28 pct, the large - consumption sector rose 0.11 pct, and the large - finance sector rose 0.77 pct [4]. 3.5 Industry Rotation - Real estate, petroleum and petrochemicals, and steel led the rise. For example, real estate had a daily increase of 3.19% in the underlying stock market, and its PE (TTM) 3 - year quantile was 97.80%, and PB (LF) 3 - year quantile was 51.03% [53].