高盛：全球 IT 服务观察-第二季度财报前总结我们对行业趋势的观点

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies including Accenture, IBM, Fujitsu, NEC, and EPAM, while Cognizant and Globant are rated as "Neutral" [28][19][12]. Core Insights - The global IT services industry is facing macroeconomic headwinds that are likely to persist, delaying a broader recovery in discretionary spending until 2026 [1]. - In India, the IT services sector is expected to experience low-single digit revenue growth for FY26, with limited visibility on discretionary demand [2]. - Japan's IT services market remains strong, driven by modernization needs and a tight supply of system engineers, allowing for price increases [3]. - In the US, ongoing uncertainty in IT budgets is causing clients to delay discretionary spending, particularly in sectors like Healthcare and Manufacturing [4]. Summary by Region India - After two rounds of cuts, revenue growth estimates for FY26 have been modestly raised, but growth is expected to remain below FY25 levels [2]. - The sector is projected to see a -0.4% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth for 1QFY26, with a YoY growth of +0.9% [9]. - Companies like Infosys and HCL are expected to raise their revenue growth guidance slightly [9]. Japan - The demand for IT services in Japan is robust, driven by the need to replace legacy systems and improve productivity [3][12]. - Major players like Fujitsu and NEC are well-positioned to benefit from this demand, with forecasts indicating significant profit growth [13][14]. - The financial and public sectors are consistently investing in digital transformation, which is expected to continue [16]. United States - US IT services providers are experiencing muted performance due to uncertainty in IT budgets, with some sectors showing resilience [4][17]. - Companies are reporting stable demand in Financial Services, but there are headwinds in Healthcare and Manufacturing [19]. - Management teams are indicating some signs of demand stabilization, particularly in select verticals [17][20].