”十五五”规划系列报告（三）：从今年高考看“十五五”规划

Group 1: Education Planning and Trends - 2025 marks the end of the "14th Five-Year" education plan and is crucial for planning the "15th Five-Year" education development strategy[2] - The gross enrollment rate in higher education reached 60.8% in 2024, indicating significant progress in educational coverage during the "14th Five-Year" period[16] - The "15th Five-Year" plan emphasizes the optimization of approximately 20% of higher education disciplines and majors, aligning with national strategic needs[20] Group 2: Key Trends in Higher Education - The first trend is the expansion of undergraduate programs, with an expected increase in admission rates despite a decline in the number of applicants this year[26] - The second trend involves optimizing university majors, with a notable increase in engineering (34.5%), arts (27.6%), and medical (13.8%) disciplines, while traditional social sciences are being phased out[31] - The third trend focuses on enhancing international competitiveness by expanding the "Double First-Class" initiative, which prioritizes science and engineering disciplines[42] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - There is a risk of inaccurate or incomplete data and information regarding the "15th Five-Year" plan and related educational policies[45] - The potential for policy implementation related to the "Education Power" initiative may fall short of expectations, leading to uncertainty in educational reforms[46] - The actual direction of educational reforms during the "15th Five-Year" period may deviate from anticipated outcomes based on current trends and policy documents[46]