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消费者服务行业双周报(2025、6、27-2025、7、10):暑期各地将举办约3.9万场次文旅消费活动-20250711
Dongguan Securities·2025-07-11 07:51

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the consumer services industry, anticipating that the industry index will outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [30]. Core Insights - The summer peak season is commencing, with the Ministry of Culture and Tourism organizing the 2025 National Summer Cultural and Tourism Consumption Season, which will feature over 43,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities and distribute over 570 million yuan in consumption subsidies [30][18]. - The consumer services sector index has risen by 2.24% from June 27 to July 10, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by approximately 0.62 percentage points [7][30]. - The report highlights a divergence in performance among sub-sectors, with the tourism sector recovering while the hotel and catering sector continues to decline [8][30]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The consumer services industry index increased by 2.24%, ranking sixteenth among all CITIC first-level industry indices, and outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by about 0.62 percentage points [7]. - Sub-sector performance varied, with the comprehensive service, tourism, hotel catering, and education sectors showing respective changes of 5.66%, 0.51%, -0.65%, and 5.91% [8]. - A total of 35 listed companies in the industry reported positive returns, with the top five performers being Dou Shen Education, Fang Zhi Technology, Caesar Travel, Miao Exhibition, and Bo Rui Communication, with increases of 15.75%, 12.43%, 12.31%, 10.35%, and 8.11% respectively [10]. - The overall PE (TTM) for the consumer services industry is approximately 31.12 times, slightly up from the previous period but still below the average valuation of 49.30 times since 2016 [14]. Industry News - The Ministry of Culture and Tourism will host over 43,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities during the summer season, with various promotional measures including consumption vouchers and discounts [18]. - The Sichuan government is supporting qualified cultural and tourism enterprises to go public, aiming to strengthen key tourism businesses [19]. - The Ministry will intensify monitoring of package tourism products related to family travel, study tours, and summer vacation, focusing on illegal practices [20][22]. Company Announcements - Notable companies to watch include Jin Jiang Hotel, Changbai Mountain, Emei Mountain A, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, Tianmu Lake, Jiuhua Tourism, Zhongxin Tourism, and Songcheng Performing Arts, with recommendations based on their potential benefits from the summer peak season [30][31].