东莞证券财富通每周策略-20250711

Market Overview - The market showed strong performance this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3500 points, recording three consecutive weekly gains. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.78%, the ChiNext Index gained 2.36%, the STAR 50 Index rose by 0.98%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index increased by 0.41% [1][3][5]. Economic Indicators - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned from a decline to an increase, rising by 0.1% year-on-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) saw an expanded decline. The core CPI reached a 14-month high of 0.7% [2][9][10]. - The CPI's increase was driven by a significant recovery in industrial consumer goods prices, with international commodity prices contributing to increases in gold and platinum jewelry prices by 39.2% and 15.9%, respectively [9][10]. - The PPI's year-on-year decline expanded by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, influenced by seasonal price decreases in raw materials and energy [9][10]. Policy Developments - The State Council issued 19 measures to stabilize employment, and the National Development and Reform Commission allocated an additional 10 billion yuan for employment support projects, which are expected to benefit 310,000 key groups [10][12]. - The government emphasized the need for industry self-discipline to prevent excessive competition, particularly in sectors like photovoltaic, steel, and cement [10][12]. International Trade and Monetary Policy - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on imports from multiple countries, with rates ranging from 25% to 50%, which may continue to pressure global trade growth expectations [12][13]. - The Federal Reserve is experiencing a divergence in opinions regarding interest rate policies, influenced by the potential impact of tariffs on inflation [12][13]. Sector Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as banking, public utilities, construction decoration, non-ferrous metals, and technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) for potential investment opportunities [14].