Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-12 14:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping sector, recommending companies such as China Shipbuilding, Sumec, and Yangtze River Shipbuilding [1][2]. Core Insights - The shipping assets are resonating with the commodity market, with signs of stabilization in ship prices. The report highlights the potential for left-side layout opportunities as the Chinese shipbuilding industry begins to outperform its Japanese and Korean counterparts [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of domestic demand in the express delivery sector, suggesting that leading companies may optimize their market share through pricing strategies [1][2]. - The aviation sector is expected to see a recovery in demand as supply chain constraints ease, with recommendations for airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [1][2]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The transportation index increased by 0.76%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.05 percentage points. The raw material supply chain services saw the largest increase at 4.22%, while the railway transportation sector experienced a decline of 0.50% [3][10]. - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 15.81% to 1,663 points, indicating strong performance across various vessel types [3][10]. 2. Shipping Sector Insights - VLCC rates increased by 10% to $26,813 per day, with Middle East routes rising by 16%. The report anticipates continued rate recovery due to increased cargo availability [1][2]. - The report notes that the Capesize vessel rates are rebounding, driven by strong demand for iron ore and coal, despite seasonal expectations [1][2]. 3. Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery industry is maintaining high growth rates, with recommendations for companies like SF Express and JD Logistics. The report suggests that the upcoming policies may optimize logistics costs, benefiting leading firms [1][2]. 4. Aviation Sector - The aviation market is entering a peak season, with limited supply growth and natural increases in passenger volume expected to support airline revenues. Recommendations include major airlines such as China Southern Airlines and Cathay Pacific [1][2]. 5. High Dividend Stocks - The report lists high dividend stocks in the transportation sector, including Bohai Ferry with a TTM dividend yield of 8.11% and Daqin Railway with a yield of 3.97% [21].