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非银金融行业跟踪周报:国有险企加强长周期考核,中证协强化券商自律管理-20250713
Soochow Securities·2025-07-13 05:58

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance recently, with all sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index in the last five trading days [9] - The report highlights the significant increase in trading volume in the securities sector, with a year-on-year increase of 120% in daily average stock trading volume as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term capital advantages due to new assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies [23] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transition period, with trust assets continuing to grow but profits declining significantly [31] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the last five trading days (July 7-11, 2025), the multi-financial sector rose by 11.89%, the securities sector by 4.58%, and the insurance sector by 1.72%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 3.94% compared to a 0.82% rise in the CSI 300 index [9][11] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with a daily average stock trading amount of CNY 16,688 billion, up 120% year-on-year as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The China Securities Association has implemented measures to strengthen self-regulation and promote high-quality development in the securities industry [19] 2.2 Insurance - New long-term assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies have been introduced, focusing on net asset return and capital preservation over a five-year period [23] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.62-0.95 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered historically low, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [28] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach CNY 29.56 trillion in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, but profits dropped significantly by 45.5% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June 2025, with a transaction value of CNY 52.79 trillion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 28.91% and 17.40%, respectively [34] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the insurance sector highest, followed by securities and other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [44]