Minsheng Securities·2025-07-13 08:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance sector, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [13]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance issued a notification on July 11, 2025, to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, introducing a new performance evaluation system for state-owned commercial insurance companies [3][4]. - The new evaluation model, termed "1+3+5," emphasizes long-term investment by adjusting key performance indicators, including the capital preservation and appreciation rate and return on equity (ROE) [3][4]. - The adjusted ROE now combines assessments over one year, three years, and five years, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [4]. - The capital preservation and appreciation rate has also shifted to a similar "1+3+5" model, with weights of 50%, 30%, and 20% for the respective periods [4]. - The notification aims to enhance asset-liability management and increase stable long-term returns, with a focus on absolute return strategies rather than relative performance [5]. Summary by Sections Performance Evaluation Adjustments - The performance evaluation system for state-owned insurance companies now includes a combination of one-year, three-year, and five-year assessments for both ROE and capital preservation rates, promoting a long-term investment perspective [4][11]. Investment Strategy Implications - The new guidelines are expected to lead insurance companies to prioritize absolute returns, combining active and passive management strategies, and increasing the importance of dividend and low-cost, high-liquidity strategies [5]. - The long-term capital influx into the market is anticipated to stabilize the equity market, with insurance companies likely to increase their equity investment ratios and benefit from capital gains as the equity market develops [6]. Recommendations - The report suggests that insurance companies should enhance their equity investments to improve investment flexibility and mitigate potential "spread loss" pressures, thereby improving asset-liability matching capabilities [6].