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通信行业周报2025年第28周:xAI推出Grok4模型,算力基础设施企业Q2业绩预告较好-20250713
Guoxin Securities·2025-07-13 09:56

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [4] Core Views - The global computing power continues to show high prosperity, driven by the launch of xAI's Grok4 model and strong performance forecasts from computing power infrastructure companies [1][2] - AI inference demand is rapidly increasing, with market size expectations likely to be revised upwards, indicating a significant growth opportunity in the computing power industry [17][18] - The performance forecasts for various companies in the computing power supply chain indicate sustained high growth, particularly in optical modules and copper connection sectors [34][49][51] Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - xAI launched the Grok4 model, which supports more complex interactions and has a subscription fee of $30/month, surpassing OpenAI's highest fee [1][12] - Broadcom's management indicated that AI inference demand has significantly increased, exceeding current capacity, and this demand was not included in previous market size forecasts of $60-90 billion [1][17] - Mellanox announced the availability of the Quantum-X switch, which features a bandwidth of 115.2 tb/s and is expected to drive orders for related components [1][19][20] Performance Forecasts - Companies such as Ruijie Networks and Huagong Technology forecast substantial profit increases, with Ruijie expecting a net profit of 400-510 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 160.11%-231.64% [2][34] - Taiwan's AI server ODM manufacturers reported a total monthly revenue of 100.26 billion NTD in June, a 35% year-on-year increase, indicating strong demand in the AI infrastructure market [2][24] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on various segments of the AI computing power infrastructure, including optical devices and copper connection industries, as well as domestic computing power companies benefiting from increased investments [3][80] - Long-term investment in the three major telecom operators is suggested due to their stable operations and increasing dividend payouts, with a cumulative revenue of 748.8 billion yuan in the first five months of the year, a 1.4% year-on-year increase [3][80]