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行业周报:住建部强调稳定房地产市场,关注建材投资机会-20250713
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-07-13 11:42

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to lead to significant improvements in the fundamentals of the real estate chain. Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, Weixing New Materials, and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include Beixin Building Materials [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued a special action plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the cement industry, aiming to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, with a target of reducing comprehensive energy consumption per unit product by 3.7% compared to 2020 [3] - The "equal tariff" policy is expected to benefit fiberglass leaders with overseas production bases, allowing them to raise prices and consolidate profitability [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index rose by 3.34% in the week from July 7 to July 11, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.52 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index increased by 6.41%, while the construction materials index rose by 6.60%, indicating a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 15.62%, and the construction materials index rose by 15.80%, also showing a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 11, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 282.89 CNY/ton, a decrease of 3.48% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 65.89%, down 2.29 percentage points [6][23][24] - The price of cement varied by region, with notable declines in Northeast (-4.76%), North China (-2.33%), East China (-2.98%), South China (-5.74%), Central China (-3.41%), and Southwest (-4.93%) regions [23][29] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass as of July 11, 2025, was 1205.63 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.17%. The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [6][71][78] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 970,000 weight boxes nationwide, a decline of 1.66% [73][74] Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4100 CNY/ton, with flexible pricing based on regional differences [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 11, 2025, the price of crude oil was 70.63 USD/barrel, down 0.39% week-on-week. The price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, up 1.11% week-on-week [6]