固定收益周报：转债市场高位的破局方向-20250713

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The high - point of liquidity in this round was basically confirmed in early July. Attention should be paid to when the stock - bond cost - effectiveness returns to favoring bonds. The latest convertible bond portfolio has a 0 position in equity - like convertible bonds and a 70% total position in value - style double - low and low - price convertible bonds (bond - like assets). The convertible bond broad - based portfolio outperformed the CSI Convertible Bond Index by 0.29pct last week and has cumulatively outperformed it by 15.99pct since its establishment in July 2024 [3] - When the convertible bond price and valuation are at historical highs, one can focus on sectors where performance and valuation resonate, industries with large bond - selection spaces, convertible bonds with a short - term non - call notice, and convertible bonds that can replace bank convertible bond funds [4] Group 3: Summary of Each Section Stock - Bond and Convertible Bond Market Review - Last week, the equity market was strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching or breaking through 3500 points. Bank stocks were the market's main line, and sectors such as computing hardware, new energy, and photovoltaic were active. Some sectors like PCB, consumer electronics, and gaming adjusted. In the bond market, yields generally rose due to the stock - bond seesaw effect, but Treasury bond futures recovered on Friday [1] - Convertible bonds followed the positive performance of underlying stocks, with high trading volume. The valuation adjusted, and the CSI Convertible Bond Index hit a record high. Currently, the cost - effectiveness of convertible bonds is limited, and the bond - selection space is narrowing [2] Market Outlook and Strategy Recommendation - From the perspective of asset allocation, the latest convertible bond portfolio has a 0 position in equity - like convertible bonds and a 70% total position in value - style double - low and low - price convertible bonds. Value - style low - price convertible bonds have a long remaining time and a downward - adjustment expectation, and value - style double - low convertible bonds have advantages in both underlying stocks and convertible bonds [3] - From a bottom - up perspective, when the convertible bond price and valuation are at historical highs, one can focus on sectors where performance and valuation resonate, industries with large bond - selection spaces, convertible bonds with a short - term non - call notice, and convertible bonds that can replace bank convertible bond funds [4] Chart Analysis - Chart 2 shows the specific targets of the convertible bond broad - based portfolio, including information such as underlying stock names, convertible bond names, positions, and various indicators [7] - Chart 4 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by industry, including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [11] - Chart 5 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by bond attributes (low - price, inert, double - low, equity - like, double - high), including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [12] - Chart 6 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by rating, including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [13] - Chart 7 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by underlying stock market value, including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [14] - Chart 8 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by convertible bond balance, including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [15] - Chart 9 shows the performance of the convertible bond market last week by the time since listing, including convertible bond yield, corresponding underlying stock yield, change in conversion premium rate, etc. [16] - Chart 10 shows the equity and bond characteristics of convertible bonds in each industry, including the proportion of different types of convertible bonds and relevant indicators [17] - Chart 11 shows the rating, scale, and conversion value of convertible bonds in each industry [19]