GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-07-13 14:45Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Increase" [4] Core Views - In the second quarter of 2025, the average price of live pigs is expected to be 14.5 CNY/kg, a decrease of 4.6% from the previous quarter and 11.4% year-on-year. However, due to the decline in raw material prices and improved breeding performance, listed companies are optimizing costs [15][16] - The poultry sector is facing challenges, with yellow feathered chicken prices remaining low at an average of 11.3 CNY/kg, down 2.4% quarter-on-quarter and 15.5% year-on-year. The profitability of leading companies like Wen's Group may be under pressure due to these price declines [15][16] - The feed sector is benefiting from stable pig prices and rising aquatic product prices, with Haida Group expected to achieve a feed sales volume of approximately 13.65 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 26% [15][16] Summary by Sections Livestock Farming - The national price of lean meat pigs is 14.54 CNY/kg, down 2% from last week. The current valuation remains relatively low, with a focus on leading companies and low-cost high-growth targets such as Muyuan Foods and Wen's Group [2][16] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 6.24 CNY/kg, down 7.6% from last week, while chicken product prices average 8.38 CNY/kg, down 0.9% [16][30] - The price of parent stock chicken chicks is 47.2 CNY/set, up 1% week-on-week, while the price of meat chicken chicks is 0.99 CNY each, down 27.2% [26][28] Feed Sector - Haida Group is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.218-1.518 billion CNY in the second quarter, with a year-on-year change of -3.64% to +20.1% [15][16] - The pet feed industry continues to maintain high growth, with expectations for Zhongchong Group to achieve a net profit of approximately 120 million CNY in the second quarter, a year-on-year increase of about 40% [15][16] Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth for industry companies as actual transaction prices and profit distribution are confirmed [16] - The fluctuation of agricultural product prices is increasing, and leading feed companies are expected to replace smaller companies due to their advantages in procurement, scale, and capital [16]