建筑装饰行业跟踪周报：城市更新、重点工程项目关注度提升-20250713

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and decoration industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The issuance of new special bonds by various regions increased by 44.7% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with an issuance progress of 49.1%, indicating a faster pace compared to 2024 but slower than 2022 and 2023. The focus is on supporting infrastructure investment in the second half of the year [2][11] - The construction business activity index for June was 52.8%, up 1.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a recovery in the industry. The civil engineering business activity index has remained above 55.0% for three consecutive months, reflecting an acceleration in construction projects [2][11] - There is an increasing focus on urban renewal and major infrastructure investment projects, with the completion of the 800 billion yuan "two重" construction project list expected to accelerate the implementation of key projects and physical workload [2][11] - The report suggests focusing on state-owned enterprises and local state-owned enterprises with low valuations and stable performance, recommending companies such as China Communications Construction, China Electric Power Construction, and China Railway [2][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report highlights that the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is accelerating the renovation of old urban residential areas, with over 50% of construction rates reported in several provinces by June. A total of 180 billion yuan has been allocated for the renovation of 120,000 old elevators [14] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes a balanced approach to infrastructure investment, ensuring the completion of major projects while planning for future initiatives [15] International Expansion - In the first five months of 2025, China's overseas contracting projects saw a 5.4% increase in revenue and a 13% increase in new contracts. Notably, contracts signed in Belt and Road Initiative countries reached 84.93 billion USD, a 20.7% increase year-on-year [3][12] - The report suggests focusing on international engineering sectors, recommending companies such as China Materials International and Shanghai Port Construction [3][12] Demand Structure - There are promising investment opportunities in specialized manufacturing engineering sectors, energy conservation, and new energy-related infrastructure. Companies with relevant transformation layouts are expected to benefit, such as Honglu Steel Structure and Huayang International [3][12]