期指:关注将发布的经济数据指引
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-07-14 05:34
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 13, 2025, all four major index futures contracts for the current month rose. IF increased by 0.19%, IH by 0.02%, IC by 0.92%, and IM by 1.04% [1]. - On this trading day, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm among investors. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 66,484 lots, IH by 34,327 lots, IC by 50,298 lots, and IM by 99,288 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF increased by 24,608 lots, IH by 15,151 lots, IC by 14,504 lots, and IM by 21,864 lots [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Futures Data Tracking - Closing Prices and Fluctuations: The closing prices and percentage changes of various index futures contracts are presented, such as the closing price of the CSI 300 being 4014.81 with a 0.12% increase, and different futures contracts like IF2507 having a closing price of 4014.6 with a 0.19% increase [1]. - Basis: The basis of different index futures contracts is provided, for example, the basis of IF2507 is -0.21 [1]. - Trading Volume and Turnover: The trading volume, turnover, and their changes of each index futures contract are shown. For instance, the turnover of IF2507 is 64.65 billion, and its trading volume increased by 20,063 lots [1]. - Open Interest: The open interest and its changes of each index futures contract are given. For example, the open interest of IF2507 is 62,423 lots, with an increase of 2,133 lots [1]. 3.2 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.3 Important Drivers - US President Trump announced that starting from August 1, 2025, the US will impose a 30% tariff on products imported from Mexico and the EU. The tariff policy may be adjusted if certain conditions are met [6]. 3.4 Other Industry News - The Minister of Industry and Information Technology, Li Lecheng, chaired a party group meeting, emphasizing the implementation of large - scale equipment updates and technological transformation projects in the manufacturing industry, promoting digital transformation, and supporting the innovation and development of small and medium - sized enterprises [7]. - In the next week, important global market events include the release of China's economic data for the first half of the year, Trump's statement on Russia, the release of US inflation and retail data, the Fed's Beige Book, and the opening of a new round of refined oil price adjustment windows in China [7]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange officially released the "1 + 6" policy - supporting business rules for the Sci - tech Innovation Board on July 13 [8]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.47%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.22%. The A - share trading volume was 1.52 trillion, slightly lower than the previous day. Different sectors showed various performances, such as real estate stocks having a涨停潮, while the computing power industry chain had a correction [8].