Guoxin Securities·2025-07-14 07:58Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The global satellite internet construction is accelerating, with Starlink leading the industry. By June 2025, Starlink has launched nearly 9,000 satellites, serving over 5 million users across more than 100 countries. The project is expected to generate over $8 billion in revenue in 2024 and potentially exceed $11 billion in 2025 [2][20]. - China's satellite internet is entering a rapid development phase, with plans for three satellite constellations. Recent leadership changes in satellite internet companies indicate a push for technological breakthroughs and business model innovations [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Satellite Internet Acceleration - By June 2025, Starlink has launched nearly 9,000 satellites, with a user base surpassing 5 million and revenue projections of over $8 billion in 2024 and $11 billion in 2025 [2][20]. - China's satellite internet has initiated the deployment of multiple satellite constellations, with significant advancements in satellite launches and leadership changes in key companies [2][3]. 2. Business Models: Direct-to-Cell and Laser Communication - The Direct-to-Cell (DTC) model is set for large-scale application, with China Telecom planning to promote satellite direct connection services extensively by 2024. By May 2025, over 30 direct connection models are expected to be released, with annual sales projected to exceed 16 million units [3]. - Laser communication technology is anticipated to become a standard in satellite internet, with significant advancements already demonstrated by private companies in China [3]. 3. Rocket Breakthroughs - China's private rocket companies are rapidly iterating technologies, with notable advancements in reusable rockets and liquid propulsion systems. For instance, Blue Arrow Aerospace's "Zhuque-3" rocket is designed to match SpaceX's Falcon 9 in payload capacity [4]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The commercial space sector in China is poised for rapid growth, with the satellite internet market expected to reach nearly 100 billion yuan in the next five years. The private rocket market is projected to exceed 30 billion yuan [4]. Key companies to watch include those in the private rocket supply chain and satellite internet communication payload suppliers [4].