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股指期货将偏强震荡,白银期货再创上市以来新高,白银、原油、烧碱期货将震荡偏强,黄金、焦煤、玻璃、PTA、豆油、棕榈油期货将偏强震荡,多晶硅期货将偏强宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-07-14 08:39
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on July 14, 2025, including股指期货,国债 futures, precious metal futures, base metal futures, energy futures, and agricultural product futures. It also analyzes the market conditions on July 11, 2025, and provides some macro - economic information and trading tips [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - Stock Index Futures: IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, IM2509 are expected to be strongly volatile. Resistance and support levels are provided for each contract [2][31]. - Treasury Bond Futures: The ten - year T2509 and thirty - year TL2509 are likely to have wide - range fluctuations, with corresponding support and resistance levels [2]. - Precious Metal Futures: Gold (AU2510) will be strongly volatile, and silver (AG2510) will be strongly volatile and may hit a new high. Resistance and support levels are given [2][3]. - Base Metal Futures: Copper (CU2508) will be range - bound, aluminum (AL2508) will be weakly volatile, zinc (ZN2508) and nickel (NI2508) will be weakly volatile, while tin (SN2508), alumina (AO2509) will be strongly volatile, with support and resistance levels for each [3][4]. - Energy Futures: Crude oil (SC2508) and fuel oil (FU2509) will be strongly volatile, and PTA (TA509) will be strongly volatile, with corresponding support and resistance levels [7]. - Agricultural Product Futures: Soybean oil (Y2509) and palm oil (P2509) will be strongly volatile, while corn (C2509) and natural rubber (RU2509) will be weakly volatile, with support and resistance levels [7][8]. 3.2 Macro - economic Information - The 2025 SCO Digital Economy Forum was held, and 12 digital economy cooperation projects were signed. The Ministry of Finance promotes long - term and stable investment of insurance funds. Diplomatic activities between China and the US, Russia, etc. were carried out [9][10]. - The second - quarter high - frequency data in China showed improvement in consumption, investment, etc. The US imposed tariffs on multiple countries, which affected the global trade and financial markets [12]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - related Information - The IEA adjusted the growth expectations of global oil supply and demand. International oil prices rose on July 11, 2025, and international precious metal futures generally closed higher. London base metals mostly closed lower [17][18][19]. 3.4 Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Stock Index Futures: On July 11, 2025, IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, IM2509 showed different trends, with some hitting new highs. The market is expected to be strongly volatile in July 2025 [21][22][23]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On July 11, 2025, the ten - year T2509 had a slight decline, and the thirty - year TL2509 had a slight increase. They are expected to have wide - range fluctuations on July 14 [50][52]. - Precious Metal Futures: Gold (AU2510) had a slight increase on July 11, 2025, and is expected to be strongly volatile in July and on July 14. Silver (AG2510) hit a new high on July 12, 2025, and is expected to continue to rise [55][61]. - Base Metal Futures: Different base metal futures showed various trends on July 11, 2025, and their trends on July 14 and in July 2025 are predicted [74][78][83]. - Energy Futures: Crude oil (SC2508) and fuel oil (FU2509) had different trends on July 11, 2025, and their future trends are forecasted [128][132]. - Other Futures: Industrial silicon, polycrystalline silicon, lithium carbonate, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, caustic soda futures all have their own trends on July 11, 2025, and future trends are predicted [100][102][105].