Guoyuan Securities·2025-07-14 09:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the semiconductor and semiconductor equipment industry [5]. Core Insights - The overseas AI chip index increased by 1.8% this week, with AMD and Nvidia rising by 6.2% and 3.5% respectively, while Marvell and MPS saw declines of nearly 3% [1][8]. - The domestic AI chip index rose by 1.9%, with SMIC increasing by nearly 4% and Hengxuan Technology by 2.6% [1][8]. - The Nvidia mapping index surged by 5.8%, with Changxin Bochuang and Taichengguang experiencing significant gains of nearly 20% and 12% respectively [1][8]. - The server ODM index saw a slight increase of 0.3%, with Wiwynn rising nearly 5% [1][8]. - The storage chip index fell by 0.6%, with some companies like Baiwei Storage and Taiji Industrial showing gains of nearly 3% [1][8]. - The power semiconductor index increased by 1.0%, while the A-share fruit chain index rose by 4.7% and the Hong Kong fruit chain index by 3.9% [1][8]. Market Data Summary - In 2024, domestic smart glasses sales are projected to reach 434,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 36.5%, with expectations to exceed one million units in 2025, representing a growth rate of approximately 130% [2][22]. - In May 2025, domestic smartphone shipments totaled 23.716 million units, a year-on-year decline of 21.8%, with domestic brands accounting for 19.177 million units, down 24.2% [2][23]. - In Q2 2025, global PC shipments reached 67.6 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [2][23]. - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi led the Chinese smartphone market with a 16.63% market share, followed closely by Vivo, OPPO, Huawei, and Apple [2][28][29]. Major Events Summary - The iPhone 17 Pro is expected to feature an all-aluminum body with a redesigned MagSafe magnetic circle due to the repositioning of the Apple logo [3][30]. - Samsung launched the Galaxy Z Fold 7, which features significant changes in weight and screen design [3][30]. - The first MacBook equipped with an OLED screen is anticipated to launch in 2026, starting with the MacBook Pro series [3][30]. - Apple released the third developer preview of visionOS 26 for the Vision Pro device on July 8 [3][31].