社会服务行业双周报（第110期）：社服板块二季报业绩前瞻：预计延续分化表现-20250714

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the social services sector, indicating expected performance above the market index by over 10% [3][29]. Core Insights - The social services sector is anticipated to continue showing a differentiated performance in Q2, with various segments such as travel, hospitality, and education demonstrating varying levels of recovery and growth [1][11]. - The report highlights that the consumer services sector increased by 2.49% during the reporting period, outperforming the broader market by 0.12 percentage points [16][18]. - Key companies in the sector, such as Nayuki Tea and Meituan, have shown significant stock price increases, with Nayuki Tea rising by 37.50% [1][19]. Summary by Sections Q2 Earnings Outlook - The travel chain is expected to show a mixed performance, with leading hotel brands experiencing a narrowing decline in RevPAR and strong brand expansions [1][11]. - The restaurant chain sector is projected to stabilize, particularly in tea and fast-food segments, benefiting from increased subsidies from major platforms [1][12]. Industry and Company Dynamics - Huazhu has upgraded its membership system, introducing a price guarantee feature [20]. - Meituan has launched a centralized kitchen initiative to enhance food safety and has seen a significant increase in daily order volumes [22]. - The report notes changes in shareholding for several companies, with increases for Tianli International Holdings and Mixue Group [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies such as Guming, Mixue Group, and Atour, among others, as potential investment opportunities in the current economic environment [3][29]. - Mid-term recommendations include companies like China Duty Free, Meituan, and Huazhu Group, indicating a broad range of investment options across the sector [3][29].