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固收动态报告:国有险企长周期考核机制落地,资金面略有收敛,债市整体偏弱震荡
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-07-14 11:36

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View On July 11, the capital market showed a complex situation. The capital side slightly tightened, the bond market was weakly volatile, the convertible bond market had mixed performance, and the yields of U.S. and European government bonds generally increased. There were also significant events in domestic and international policies, as well as price changes in commodities [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - Domestic News - The Ministry of Finance requires state - owned insurance companies to implement long - cycle assessment from 2025, adjusting ROE and capital preservation and appreciation rate to "annual + three - year + five - year" indicators [3]. - The Financial Regulatory Administration issued the "Measures for the Suitability Management of Financial Institution Products", which will take effect on February 1, 2026 [4]. - The NAFMII launched a self - regulatory investigation into 6 lead underwriters [4]. - The first batch of 10 science - innovation bond ETFs raised a total of 289.88 billion yuan and will be listed on July 17. Fund companies are preparing for the second batch [5]. - International News - Trump announced that the U.S. will impose a 30% tariff on products from Mexico and the EU starting from August 1, 2025, and other trading partners may face 15% - 20% tariffs [6]. - Commodities - On July 11, international crude oil futures prices turned up, and natural gas prices continued to rise. WTI August crude oil futures rose 2.8%, Brent September crude oil futures rose 2.5%, COMEX gold futures rose 1.41%, and NYMEX natural gas prices rose 0.24% [7]. 3.2 Capital Side - Open Market Operations - On July 11, the central bank conducted 847 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 507 billion yuan after deducting the maturity amount [9]. - Funding Rates - On July 11, the capital side slightly tightened. DR001 rose 2.00bp to 1.343%, and DR007 fell 2.27bp to 1.472% [10]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - Interest - rate Bonds - Spot Bond Yield Trends: On July 11, the bond market was weakly volatile. The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose 0.65bp to 1.6660%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250210 rose 0.50bp to 1.7430% [13]. - Bond Tendering: Information on the tendering of 25 Attached - interest Treasury Bond 12 (re - issuance) and 25 Attached - interest Treasury Bond 10 (second re - issuance) is provided [15]. - Credit Bonds - Secondary Market Transaction Abnormalities: On July 11, the transaction prices of 3 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%. "19 Baolong MTN002" fell more than 67%, "H0 Baolong 04" rose more than 122%, and "H1 Bidi 02" rose more than 192% [15]. - Credit Bond Events: Multiple companies such as Gome Electric Appliance, Orient Fashion, and Jiaoda Angli announced significant events including new enforcement information, pre - reorganization, and being investigated by the CSRC [16]. - Convertible Bonds - Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes: On July 11, the three major A - share indexes rose. The convertible bond market was divided, with the CSI Convertible Bond and Shenzhen Convertible Bond indexes rising 0.03% and 0.20% respectively, and the Shanghai Convertible Bond index falling 0.08% [18]. - Convertible Bond Tracking: Information on the listing, conversion price adjustment, and early redemption of multiple convertible bonds is provided [24]. - Overseas Bond Markets - U.S. Bond Market: On July 11, the yields of U.S. bonds across all maturities generally increased, and the yield spreads of some maturities widened. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury bond (TIPS) break - even inflation rate rose 3bp to 2.37% [20][22]. - European Bond Market: On July 11, the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies generally increased [23]. - Chinese - funded U.S. Dollar Bonds: The daily price changes of Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds as of July 11 are presented, including the price changes of bonds of companies such as Ideal Auto and CNOOC [25].