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化工行业周报(20250707-20250713):本周液氯、三氯甲烷、HIPS、氯化钾等产品涨幅居前-20250714
Minsheng Securities·2025-07-14 13:05

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Shengquan Group, Hailide, and Zhuoyue New Energy [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with strong performance in the first half of the year, particularly those expected to exceed earnings forecasts in Q2 2025. It highlights Shengquan Group's position as a major domestic supplier of electronic resins for AI servers, benefiting from increasing server shipments. Hailide is noted for its leadership in the polyester industrial yarn sector, which is expected to benefit from U.S. tariff conflicts. Zhuoyue New Energy is recognized for its capacity growth and new product launches, which are anticipated to elevate its performance [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Chemical Industry Overview - The chemical sector index closed at 3572.47 points, up 1.53% from the previous week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.71% [10][11]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 318 stocks rose (69%) while 137 fell (30%) during the week [15]. Key Chemical Products - Liquid chlorine, trichloromethane, HIPS, and potassium chloride saw significant price increases, with liquid chlorine rising by 16% and trichloromethane by 9% [19][20]. - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 67 experiencing price increases and 116 seeing declines [19]. Fertilizer Sector - The report indicates a favorable export window for phosphate fertilizers, with exports expected to peak between May and September 2025. This is anticipated to alleviate domestic overcapacity and maintain profitability for companies like Yuntianhua, which has phosphate mineral resources [2]. Safety and Regulatory Environment - Following a chemical accident, there is an expected nationwide safety inspection in the pesticide industry, which may lead to the elimination of non-compliant production capacities and improve the industry's overall outlook [3]. Company Performance Forecasts - Shengquan Group is projected to have an EPS of 1.03 in 2024, increasing to 2.13 by 2026, with a PE ratio decreasing from 28 in 2024 to 14 in 2026. Hailide's EPS is expected to rise from 0.35 to 0.41, maintaining a PE ratio of 16. Zhuoyue New Energy is forecasted to see significant growth in EPS from 1.24 to 4.80, with a PE ratio dropping from 36 to 9 [4].