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固定收益点评:可转债新券投资策略怎么看?
Guohai Securities·2025-07-14 13:01

Group 1 - The report identifies a significant increase in the number of new convertible bonds listed recently, leading to heightened market attention towards new issuances [7][8] - Convertible bonds are categorized into four main types: white horse, value, small market cap, and balanced, each exhibiting distinct pricing characteristics and investment opportunities, necessitating differentiated strategies for new issuances [7][26] Group 2 - White horse convertible bonds are characterized by high initial valuations and a generally high conversion premium, indicating a low investment cost-effectiveness. The report advises against participating in new issuances or buying on the first day due to systemic valuation risks [7][12][26] - Value convertible bonds typically show low initial valuations, with some even trading below par. The report highlights that institutional demand can drive prices upward post-initial trading, suggesting active participation in new issuances and buying during sell-offs for optimal risk-reward ratios [13][17][26] Group 3 - Small market cap convertible bonds exhibit significant price volatility due to limited liquidity, often leading to extreme pricing deviations from fundamentals. The report recommends avoiding high-price chasing and waiting for a price correction after 4-6 months for potential value recovery opportunities [21][27] - Balanced convertible bonds present relatively rational pricing and moderate volatility, with the report suggesting participation in new issuances and buying during initial sell-offs to achieve stable returns within 1-2 months [25][27]