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花旗:思源电气_2025 年上半年利润飙升,超出预期,收入增幅远超年度目标;首选推荐
SIEYUANSIEYUAN(SZ:002028)2025-07-15 01:58

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Sieyuan Electric, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance [4][8]. Core Insights - Sieyuan Electric reported a net profit increase of 45.7% year-on-year to Rmb1,293 million in 1H25, surpassing market expectations [1][11]. - Revenue grew by 37.8% year-on-year to Rmb8,497 million, significantly exceeding the company's target of over 20% growth for 2025 [1][11]. - The net profit surge was attributed to both revenue growth and net margin expansion, which increased by 0.8 percentage points to 15.2% [1][11]. - The company aims for new orders to grow over 25% year-on-year in 2025, with a focus on international markets and non-grid customers [2][8]. - Sieyuan's R&D expenses were 7% of revenue in 2024, supporting new business developments such as energy storage systems and advanced switchgear [6][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025E, net profit is forecasted to reach Rmb2,660 million, reflecting a growth of 29.8% year-on-year [3][12]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved to 9.89%, an increase of 1.72 percentage points year-on-year [1][11]. Market Position - Sieyuan's overseas orders accounted for approximately 30% of total orders, with significant growth from regions like the Middle East and South America [2][8]. - The company has established a strong presence in the UHV gas insulated switchgear market, enhancing its market recognition [6][8]. Valuation - The target price for Sieyuan Electric is set at Rmb87.00 per share, based on a discounted cash flow model, indicating a potential upside of 24.3% from the current price [4][12]. - The expected total return, including dividend yield, is projected at 25.2% [4].