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6月金融数据点评:金融数据超预期修复
Great Wall Securities·2025-07-15 03:42

Group 1: Monetary Indicators - In June, the new social financing scale reached 4.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 900 billion yuan year-on-year[1] - The year-on-year growth of M1 rose to 4.6% in June from 2.3% in May, while M2 increased to 8.3% from 7.9%[2] - The M2-M1 spread narrowed to 3.7%, down 1.9 percentage points from the previous month[2] Group 2: Government Financing and Debt - Government bonds accounted for 32.3% of social financing in June, down from 63.8% in the previous month[3] - Net financing of government bonds in June was 1.3548 trillion yuan, an increase of 507.2 billion yuan year-on-year[3] - By June, the total government bond issuance for the year reached 7.66 trillion yuan, representing 65% of the annual issuance plan[3] Group 3: Corporate and Household Loans - Corporate loans in June saw a seasonal increase of 1.77 trillion yuan, up 140 billion yuan year-on-year, with short-term loans rising by 1.16 trillion yuan[3] - Household loans increased by 3.353 trillion yuan for medium to long-term and 2.621 trillion yuan for short-term loans, reflecting a slight recovery in consumer confidence[3] - Overall, the performance of household credit remains moderate, indicating cautious economic expectations[3]