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2025年6月金融数据点评:信贷超预期增长和国新办发布会传达的信号
EBSCN·2025-07-15 03:42

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In June 2025, new social financing (社融) reached 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations by 0.9 trillion yuan and higher than the average of 3.75 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2024[3] - The year-on-year growth rate of social financing stock was 8.9%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month[3] - New RMB loans amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1 trillion yuan[4] Group 2: Loan Structure and Trends - In June, the new RMB loans accounted for 56% of the total social financing, indicating strong loan growth from financial institutions[11] - Short-term loans for enterprises saw a significant year-on-year increase of 4.9 trillion yuan, while corporate bill financing decreased by 3.716 trillion yuan[4] - M1 and M2 growth rates were 4.6% and 8.3%, respectively, with M1 rebounding by 2.3 percentage points from the previous month[4] Group 3: Economic Signals and Policy Implications - The government bond net financing in June was 1.3508 trillion yuan, contributing approximately 32% to the new social financing[9] - The People's Bank of China emphasized a "stable" monetary policy, maintaining ample liquidity and signaling no further expansion of bond investment regulation for small and medium banks[14] - The economic environment has improved since May, positively influencing corporate production and investment willingness, as indicated by a mild rebound in the manufacturing PMI index[13]